Cognitive Biases: Plan Continuation Bias
What is the Plan Continuation Bias?
The Plan Continuation Bias occurs when people exhibit a strong attachment to their original plans and are reluctant to change them, even in the face of new information or changing circumstances. This bias can lead individuals to continue with a plan that is no longer optimal, simply because it was the initial plan.
History of the Plan Continuation Bias
The concept of the Plan Continuation Bias was first introduced by psychologists Karl Weick and Francesca Gino in 2011. They demonstrated that people tend to exhibit a strong preference for their original plans, even when faced with new information or changing circumstances.
Factors contributing to the Plan Continuation Bias
Several factors contribute to the Plan Continuation Bias:
- Sunk cost fallacy: People tend to feel invested in their original plan and are reluctant to abandon it, even if it no
longer makes sense. - Loss aversion: The prospect of losing time, money, or effort already invested in a plan can lead individuals to continue with it, despite the fact that it may no longer be optimal.
- Cognitive dissonance: Changing plans can create cognitive dissonance, as individuals must reconcile their original decision with new information or changing circumstances.
Examples of the Plan Continuation Bias
The Plan Continuation Bias is evident in various domains:
- Project management: A project manager may continue to pursue an original plan, despite changes in requirements or unexpected setbacks.
- Business strategy: Companies may stick with their initial business plan, even if market conditions change or new competitors emerge.
- Personal goals: Individuals may continue to work towards a goal that is no longer relevant or achievable, simply because it was the original objective.
Consequences of the Plan Continuation Bias
The Plan Continuation Bias can lead to:
- Inefficient decision-making: Sticking with an original plan can result in missed opportunities and suboptimal outcomes.
- Resource waste: Continuing with a plan that is no longer viable can lead to wasted time, money, and effort.
- Failure to adapt: The Plan Continuation Bias can prevent individuals and organizations from adapting to changing circumstances and learning from experience.
Mitigating the Plan Continuation Bias
To minimize the impact of the Plan Continuation Bias:
- Regularly review plans: Regularly assess the viability of a plan and be willing to adjust or abandon it if necessary.
- Encourage flexibility: Foster an environment that encourages experimentation, learning, and adaptation.
- Consider alternative perspectives: Seek out diverse viewpoints and consider alternative solutions to ensure that the original plan is still the best course of action.
Conclusion
The Plan Continuation Bias highlights the importance of being flexible and adaptable in planning and decision-making. By recognizing this bias and taking steps to mitigate it, individuals and organizations can avoid getting stuck with suboptimal plans and instead pursue more effective and efficient solutions.
Filed under: Uncategorized - @ April 1, 2025 11:27 am